Regression Analysis

    QUESTION 1

    1. Please look at the following output from the regression. 

      What does the value of R-square tell us about our model? 

      Note: It is not sufficient to just provide some general answers. Use the numbers from the output, and write your answers specific to our regression model.

      Model Summary

      Model

      R

      R Square

      Adjusted R Square

      Std. Error of the Estimate

      1

      .771a

      .594

      .580

      21.741

      a. Predictors: (Constant), DENSITY

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    12.5 points   

    QUESTION 2

    1. Please look at the following output from the regression. 

      What do the value of F-test and its P-value tell us about our model? 

      Note: It is not sufficient to just provide some general answers. Use the numbers from the output, and write your answers specific to our regression model.

      ANOVAa

      Model

      Sum of Squares

      df

      Mean Square

      F

      Sig.

      1

      Regression

      20747.246

      1

      20747.246

      43.895

      .000b

      Residual

      14179.629

      30

      472.654

      Total

      34926.875

      31

      a. Dependent Variable: SALES

      b. Predictors: (Constant), DENSITY

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    12.5 points   

    QUESTION 3

    1. The regression coefficient output is shown below. 

      Does Density matter in terms of explaining sales? Can you provide an explanation of the coefficient estimate for Density? (Note: the unit of Density is number of homes per acre, and the unit of Sales is dollars per thousand homes ). 

      Coefficientsa

      Model

      Unstandardized Coefficients

      Standardized Coefficients

      t

      Sig.

      B

      Std. Error

      Beta

      1

      (Constant)

      141.525

      9.109

      15.538

      .000

      DENSITY

      -12.893

      1.946

      -.771

      -6.625

      .000

      a. Dependent Variable: SALES

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    12.5 points   

    QUESTION 4

    1. Managers suspect that the effect of Density on Sales can be nonlinear; in other words, as density increases, there will a decreasing marginal effect on density. To test this idea, they ran an additional regression, with Density and Density_Squared (i.e. Density*Density) as the independent variables (again, Sales as the dependant variable), and the output of the new regression shows below.

      Can you explain what the R_square and F-test tell us about the new model? Is the new model better than the model with only Density as the independent variable?

      Model Summary

      Model

      R

      R Square

      Adjusted R Square

      Std. Error of the Estimate

      1

      .910a

      .829

      .817

      14.354

      a. Predictors: (Constant), Density2, DENSITY

      ANOVAa

      Model

      Sum of Squares

      df

      Mean Square

      F

      Sig.

      1

      Regression

      28951.384

      2

      14475.692

      70.253

      .000b

      Residual

      5975.491

      29

      206.051

      Total

      34926.875

      31

      a. Dependent Variable: SALES

      b. Predictors: (Constant), Density2, DENSITY

      Coefficientsa

      Model

      Unstandardized Coefficients

      Standardized Coefficients

      t

      Sig.

      B

      Std. Error

      Beta

      1

      (Constant)

      212.595

      12.768

      16.650

      .000

      DENSITY

      -47.293

      5.601

      -2.827

      -8.444

      .000

      Density2

      3.419

      .542

      2.113

      6.310

      .000

      a. Dependent Variable: SALES

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    12.5 points   

    QUESTION 5

    1. (This is a Bonus Question)

      Continuing from Question 4, can you explain the meaning of the coefficient estimate of Density_Squared (i.e. Density*Density)? (Hint: the effect of Density on Sales is negative, while the effect of Density_Squared on Sales is positive). 

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